TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 10:32 PM EST
Kalshi
This group contains markets related to the San Antonio FC vs. Tampa Bay Rowdies USL Championship soccer game on September 26th. Markets cover spreads, over/under goals, and both teams to score, both for the full game and for the first half. These markets provide opportunities to predict various aspects of the match outcome.
More markets for the USL Championship game, scheduled for September 26 at 8:30 PM ET.
All markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored in the San Antonio vs Tampa Bay professional USL Championship soccer game scheduled for Sep 26, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the total goals exceed the specified threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals). Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the mechanisms by which they are determined. Sportsbooks set odds based on their internal models and aim to balance risk and profit, while prediction markets rely on the collective intelligence of traders who buy and sell contracts representing possible outcomes. This market’s price reflects the aggregated beliefs of participants, potentially revealing insights that differ from those of bookmakers. Discrepancies can also arise from differing levels of information available to each group and varying market efficiencies.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge for several reasons. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying expertise and risk tolerance, leading to differing opinions reflected in trading activity. Furthermore, the liquidity and volume on each platform can influence price discovery; Polymarket has a significantly higher volume for this market than Kalshi. Different market structures and fee schedules can also contribute to price discrepancies. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Spread: San Antonio FC (-5.5) at 98.9%, while Kalshi leans toward Will over 3.5 goals be scored? at n/a.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the San Antonio FC or Tampa Bay Rowdies could shift probabilities. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions leading up to the match could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to the game’s scheduling or venue could also cause movement. With a total volume of $17,082, the market is sensitive to new information and will likely react quickly to relevant developments.