TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Conference League soccer match between Samsunspor and KF Shkëndija 79 scheduled for February 26, 2026. Markets are offered on Polymarket (three binary outcomes: Samsunspor win, Shkëndija win, draw) and Kalshi (a single market covering all three outcomes). Resolution is based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All platforms resolve on the same match outcome (90 minutes plus stoppage time) with consistent handling of postponements and cancellations, though Kalshi's single market structure differs from Polymarket's three separate binary markets.
Primary resolution logic:
UEFA official match records and documentationCore resolution logic:
- Resolution is determined by the official result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time
- Extra time and penalties are explicitly excluded from resolution scope
- Three mutually exclusive outcomes are possible: Samsunspor win, KF Shkëndija 79 win, or draw
- If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed
- If match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, draw/tie outcome resolves Yes and win outcomes resolve No
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the match is played. No early resolution occurs.
- Match Cancellation Without Makeup: Polymarket: Samsunspor win and Shkëndija win markets resolve No, draw market resolves Yes. Kalshi: Tie outcome resolves Yes. This reflects treating cancellation as equivalent to a draw for settlement purposes.
- Scope Limitation: Resolution covers only the 90-minute regulation period plus stoppage time. Any result determined in extra time or penalty shootout is not used for settlement.
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match is completed and the official result is confirmed by UEFA, or immediately upon confirmation of cancellation with no makeup game.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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