TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Samsunspor vs. Kayserispor
polymarket
kalshi

Samsunspor vs. Kayserispor

Volume:
$162,402

Samsunspor

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 16, 2026

Closed: Mar 15, 1:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Samsunspor

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$86,385
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Samsunspor

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,874
N/A
N/A
$6,000
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Samsunspor vs. Kayserispor)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$40,610
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,347
N/A
N/A
$1,310
Settled
No
polymarket

Kayserispor

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20,795
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Kayserispor

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,391
N/A
N/A
$1,831
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the outcome of a professional Super Lig soccer match between Samsunspor and Kayserispor scheduled for March 15, 2026. Markets are offered on Polymarket (three binary outcomes: Samsunspor win, draw, Kayserispor win) and Kalshi (one catch-all market covering all three outcomes). Resolution is based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms resolve on the same match outcome (90 minutes plus stoppage time) using the same primary source (TFF official statistics), with consistent handling of postponements and cancellations.Primary resolution logic: Turkish Football Federation (TFF) official match statistics at https://tff.org/, with fallback to consensus of credible reporting if official statistics unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion

Core resolution logic:

  • Market resolves based on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only
  • Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from resolution scope
  • Three mutually exclusive outcomes: Samsunspor victory, draw, or Kayserispor victory
  • If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the rescheduled match is completed
  • If match is canceled with no makeup game scheduled, Polymarket win/loss markets resolve No and draw market resolves Yes; Kalshi catch-all market requires event occurrence to resolve

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed on its rescheduled date
  • Cancellation without makeup: Polymarket: Samsunspor win and Kayserispor win markets resolve No; draw market resolves Yes. Kalshi: Requires clarification on whether catch-all market resolves Yes or No if no match occurs
  • Late official statistics: If TFF does not publish official statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, resolution uses consensus from credible reporting sources
  • Scope limitation: Resolution covers only 90 minutes plus stoppage time; any goals in extra time or decided by penalties are not counted
Timing: Resolution occurs after the match concludes and official TFF statistics are published or credible reporting consensus is established, typically within 2-4 hours of final whistleOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.