TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Samsunspor vs. Kayserispor
Volume:
$162,402
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of a professional Super Lig soccer match between Samsunspor and Kayserispor scheduled for March 15, 2026. Markets are offered on Polymarket (three binary outcomes: Samsunspor win, draw, Kayserispor win) and Kalshi (one catch-all market covering all three outcomes). Resolution is based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both platforms resolve on the same match outcome (90 minutes plus stoppage time) using the same primary source (TFF official statistics), with consistent handling of postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Turkish Football Federation (TFF) official match statistics at https://tff.org/, with fallback to consensus of credible reporting if official statistics unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusionCore resolution logic:
- Market resolves based on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only
- Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from resolution scope
- Three mutually exclusive outcomes: Samsunspor victory, draw, or Kayserispor victory
- If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the rescheduled match is completed
- If match is canceled with no makeup game scheduled, Polymarket win/loss markets resolve No and draw market resolves Yes; Kalshi catch-all market requires event occurrence to resolve
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed on its rescheduled date
- Cancellation without makeup: Polymarket: Samsunspor win and Kayserispor win markets resolve No; draw market resolves Yes. Kalshi: Requires clarification on whether catch-all market resolves Yes or No if no match occurs
- Late official statistics: If TFF does not publish official statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, resolution uses consensus from credible reporting sources
- Scope limitation: Resolution covers only 90 minutes plus stoppage time; any goals in extra time or decided by penalties are not counted
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes and official TFF statistics are published or credible reporting consensus is established, typically within 2-4 hours of final whistleOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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