TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 5, 8:49 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the margin of victory in a Samsung Lions vs SSG Landers baseball game scheduled for July 5, 2026. Bettors predict whether one team will win by a specified run margin, with separate markets for each team and margin combination.
Resolution is determined by the final margin of victory in the Samsung Lions vs SSG Landers Korea KBO game originally scheduled for July 5, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT. The event contains four distinct spread markets: SSG Landers winning by more than 2.5 runs, SSG Landers winning by more than 1.5 runs, Samsung Lions winning by more than 1.5 runs, and Samsung Lions winning by more than 2.5 runs. Each spread operates as an independent market; a Yes resolution occurs if the final score differential matches or exceeds the specified margin for that particular market's designated team.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate beliefs from traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market may price the spread differently than traditional oddsmakers, especially if one venue has sharper or more specialized information. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus breaks down and where edge opportunities may exist for informed bettors.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each side of the spread. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the marginal trader's willingness to transact, updating in real time as new orders flow in. Liquidity and trading volume directly influence how tight the bid-ask spread remains, so deeper order books typically allow for tighter pricing and faster execution at predictable prices.
This market resolves around Jul 5, 2026, once the Samsung Lions versus SSG Landers game concludes and the final spread is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the actual point differential between the two teams' final scores, compared against the spread specified in the market. Resolution happens automatically once the game result is confirmed and recorded by official league records.
Key injury announcements, lineup changes, or roster updates for either team can shift trader sentiment significantly. Recent performance trends, head-to-head matchup history, and weather conditions on game day all influence how traders reassess the spread. Breaking news about player availability, coaching decisions, or momentum swings in the Korean baseball season may trigger rapid repricing. As game time approaches, late-breaking information and final betting action often accelerate volatility in this market.