TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 1, 8:39 AM EST
Kalshi
Samsung Lions face NC Dinos in a Korea KBO baseball game on July 1, 2026. Bettors predict the margin of victory, with separate markets for different run differentials favoring either team.
Resolution depends on the final margin of victory in the Samsung Lions vs NC Dinos Korea KBO game scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 5:30 AM EDT. The event contains four separate markets tracking different victory margins: NC Dinos winning by more than 2.5 runs, NC Dinos winning by more than 1.5 runs, Samsung Lions winning by more than 1.5 runs, and Samsung Lions winning by more than 2.5 runs. Each market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins by the stated margin, and to No otherwise. Official scoring follows standard baseball rules as recorded at game conclusion.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes and audiences. Sportsbooks set odds to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets like this one reflect trader consensus on the true probability of an outcome. Prediction markets typically incorporate real-time information and can adjust faster than traditional sportsbooks, sometimes offering sharper or more efficient pricing. However, sportsbook odds may include promotional adjustments or liquidity constraints. Comparing the two can reveal arbitrage opportunities or signal where professional and retail traders disagree on the Lions-Dinos spread.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different spread outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each contract reflects the collective belief in that outcome, ranging from near-zero to near-100 cents. As traders place bids and offers, the mid-market price updates in real time. Liquidity and trading volume directly influence how tight or wide the spread between buy and sell prices becomes, affecting slippage for larger orders. The platform's matching engine ensures transparent price discovery throughout the trading session.
This market resolves around Jul 1, 2026, once the Samsung Lions versus NC Dinos game concludes and the final spread is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by comparing the actual point differential to the spread specified in the market. Resolution occurs after official final scores are confirmed, typically within hours of game completion. Traders should monitor the event schedule and any official league announcements to stay informed about timing. Once verified, the market settles and winnings are distributed to holders of the correct outcome.
Several factors can shift odds in this market before game time. Team roster changes, injury announcements, or lineup adjustments for either the Lions or Dinos will likely trigger price movement. Recent performance trends, head-to-head records, and home-field advantage considerations influence trader positioning. Weather conditions and stadium factors specific to the venue may also matter. Major news about key players or coaching decisions can cause sharp repricing. As the game approaches, late-breaking information and shifts in public betting sentiment often accelerate volatility, so active traders monitor sports news and team updates closely.