TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 30, 10:09 AM EST
Kalshi
A Korea KBO baseball game between Samsung Lions and NC Dinos scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 5:30 AM EDT. The outcome will be determined by which team wins the matchup.
Resolution is based on the final result of the Samsung Lions vs NC Dinos Korea KBO game originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 5:30 AM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes within two days. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled more than two days away, the market resolves to a fair price per the rules. In the event of a tie, the market resolves 50/50.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes and attract different trader bases. Sportsbooks set odds to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate the collective belief of traders wagering real money on outcomes. This market reflects what traders on Kalshi believe will happen, which may differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to timing, information asymmetry, or different risk appetites. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus differs and highlight potential value opportunities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for shares representing each possible outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the marginal probability traders assign to that outcome, ranging from $0 to $1. As new information emerges or sentiment shifts, traders adjust their orders, causing prices to move in real time. The spread between bid and ask prices indicates liquidity and conviction; tighter spreads suggest high confidence and active trading.
This market resolves around Jun 30, 2026, once the Samsung Lions versus NC Dinos game concludes and the result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official final score and result from the competition. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless. The exact resolution timing depends on when the event is completed and the result is publicly confirmed.
Key catalysts for this market include team roster changes, injury announcements, recent performance trends, and head-to-head historical records. Weather conditions, home-field advantage, and lineup adjustments closer to game day can shift trader sentiment significantly. Breaking news about player availability or coaching decisions often triggers sharp price movements. Additionally, betting action from professional syndicates or sudden shifts in public perception can cause rapid repricing. Monitoring sports news and team updates in the days leading up to the matchup will help you anticipate market moves.