TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 3, 5:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of runs scored by both the Samsung Lions and Lotte Giants in their scheduled college baseball game. It evaluates whether the combined scoring exceeds specific thresholds, providing insight into the game's offensive intensity. The outcome reflects how many runs are accumulated by both teams collectively.
The event determines whether the total runs scored by both the Samsung Lions and Lotte Giants in their college baseball game scheduled for August 1, 2026, at 5:00 AM EDT, exceed specified thresholds of 5.5, 7.5, 9.5, or 11.5 runs. Each threshold represents a separate market, with the outcome resolving to 'Yes' if the combined runs surpass the respective threshold. The event is unaffiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners. The resolution is based solely on the official game result.
On Kalshi, traders in the Samsung-Lotte run total market set odds based on their expectations for total runs scored by both teams. These prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook lines, reflecting the unique insights and real-time sentiment of participants. While sportsbooks may use statistical models and historical averages, prediction markets incorporate crowd-sourced wisdom and can shift rapidly with new information. This market's pricing may therefore appear more volatile or divergent compared to standard sportsbook odds, especially as game dynamics evolve.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous trading where participants buy and sell contracts representing the likelihood of different run totals. The current probability reflects the collective assessment of traders about whether the combined score will exceed or fall short of a specific threshold. As the game approaches, new data such as team performance, weather conditions, and pitcher rotations can cause rapid shifts in pricing. Volume of $9,163 and 24-hour volume of $660 indicate trader interest and market activity levels.
This market resolves around Aug 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final over/under line from the official game results determines whether the yes or no share pays out, based on the total runs scored by both teams combined during the match.
Key signals that could shift this market include last-minute roster changes, weather forecasts affecting game conditions, or performance trends from recent matchups. Injuries to star players or adjustments to starting pitchers may also cause rapid price swings, as traders reassess the likelihood of a high- or low-scoring contest on Kalshi closer to game time.