TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 31, 9:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional baseball game between the Samsung Lions and the Lotte Giants, focusing on the margin of victory. It reflects how fans and analysts anticipate the competitive balance between the two teams in a specific matchup. The resolution depends entirely on the final score of the game as played.
The event consists of four sub-markets that resolve based on the margin of victory in the Samsung Lions vs Lotte Giants Korea KBO game originally scheduled for July 31, 2026 at 5:30 AM EDT. Each sub-market has a specific run-difference threshold that must be met or exceeded by the winning team for that market to resolve to 'Yes.' If the winning team’s victory margin is less than the specified threshold, or if the game is canceled or otherwise unplayed, all markets resolve to 'No.' The event uses run differentials—specifically over 1.5 or over 2.5 runs—to define winning outcomes for both possible teams, allowing participants to bet on varying degrees of dominance in the game. All sub-markets share the same underlying game and time, and Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league or ownership of related intellectual property.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to trader dynamics and lower liquidity. While sportsbooks may set a static spread based on analytics, prediction markets let participants adjust prices based on real-time sentiment and new information. This can lead to tighter spreads or larger divergences, depending on how traders perceive team performance, injuries, or weather conditions.
This market resolves around Jul 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official game score and whether the Lotte Giants meet the spread condition, with no additional interpretation needed beyond standard sports results.
Injuries to key players, weather delays, or changes to starting pitchers could shift trader sentiment and move this market. Strong performance in recent games by either team’s offense or defense may also influence odds. Any news affecting team momentum or home-field advantage will likely cause price adjustments as the game nears.