TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 7:05 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of runs scored by both the Samsung Lions and LG Twins in their scheduled college baseball game. Participants can speculate on whether the combined runs will exceed various thresholds. The outcome depends purely on the game's final score.
The event evaluates whether the combined runs scored by the Samsung Lions and LG Twins in their college baseball game scheduled for September 6, 2026, at 4:00 AM EDT, exceed specified thresholds of 5.5, 7.5, 9.5, or 11.5 runs. Each threshold represents a separate market, and the market resolves to 'Yes' if the total runs surpass that threshold. All markets are independent, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both the prediction market and a sportsbook. It's important to compare the probabilities implied by both to assess where the value lies.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning buyers and sellers set their own prices for contracts representing the potential outcomes. Traders purchase 'yes' contracts if they believe the total runs will be over 5.5, and 'no' contracts if they believe it will be under. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective prediction of all participants. As more traders buy 'yes' contracts, the price increases, and vice versa, indicating the market's evolving expectation for the total runs scored.
This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official result of the Samsung Lions versus LG Twins game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total runs scored in the game, as officially recorded by the KBO, will determine whether the 'over 5.5' or 'under 5.5' outcome prevails. The resolution will be based on the final, official score of the game, ensuring a clear and objective determination of the market's result.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or changes to the starting pitchers for either team would likely have a significant impact. Weather conditions, particularly forecasts of rain that could affect scoring, are also important. Furthermore, any shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or pre-game reports, could lead to increased trading activity and price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential shifts in the market's prediction.