TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 7:05 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the performance of two baseball teams in an upcoming game, focusing on the margin of victory. It reflects how observers expect one team to dominate the other by a certain number of runs. The outcome depends entirely on the final score difference between the Samsung Lions and LG Twins.
The event evaluates various run-difference thresholds for both teams in a single baseball match scheduled for September 6, 2026. Four distinct outcomes are possible: the LG Twins winning by more than 2.5 runs, the LG Twins winning by more than 1.5 runs, the Samsung Lions winning by more than 1.5 runs, or the Samsung Lions winning by more than 2.5 runs. Each outcome corresponds to a separate market that resolves based solely on the actual score difference from the game. All markets are independent, and only one can resolve as 'Yes' depending on the margin of victory. The event is unaffiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes in the spread, and the price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more people buy contracts predicting a specific outcome, the price increases, and the implied probability of that outcome rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth displayed on the dashboard shows the available contracts at various price points, giving you an idea of the liquidity and potential price impact of your trades.
This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final score difference between the Samsung Lions and the LG Twins will be used to determine whether the LG Twins win by over 1.5 runs. The result will be based on official game statistics and publicly available data sources, ensuring a transparent and verifiable resolution process. Traders should monitor official sources leading up to and following the game to stay informed.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes to the starting lineups for either the Samsung Lions or the LG Twins would likely cause price movement. Weather conditions, particularly if they affect the playing field or pitching conditions, could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team morale, coaching strategies, or even unexpected performance trends could all contribute to shifts in the market as traders adjust their predictions based on new information.