TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 4, 8:45 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of two baseball teams in an upcoming match, focusing on the margin of victory. It evaluates whether the winning team secures a lead exceeding specific run thresholds. The outcome reflects the competitive balance between the teams during the game.
The event consists of four distinct markets, each evaluating different run-margin thresholds for either the Samsung Lions or the LG Twins to win the game scheduled for September 4, 2026. If the LG Twins win by more than 2.5 runs, the first market resolves to Yes. If the LG Twins win by more than 1.5 runs, the second market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if the Samsung Lions win by more than 1.5 runs, the third market resolves to Yes. Finally, if the Samsung Lions win by more than 2.5 runs, the fourth market resolves to Yes. Each market operates independently, and the resolution is strictly based on the run differential at the end of the game, regardless of any other factors. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
This market resolves around Sep 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread is calculated based on the official game results, and the market settles accordingly, closing all positions based on the confirmed score difference between the teams.
Injuries to key players, weather delays, or changes in starting pitchers can all shift trader sentiment and move this market. Additionally, recent performance trends, such as a team winning several consecutive games or a standout player having a hot streak, may cause rapid price adjustments as participants reassess their positions leading up to Sep 4, 2026.