TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 25, 9:24 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional baseball game between two teams, focusing on the margin of victory. The result depends on which team wins and by how many runs they win. Different thresholds define various possible outcomes for the event.
The event resolves based on the margin of victory in the Samsung Lions vs Kiwoom Heroes Korea KBO game scheduled for August 25, 2026. If the Kiwoom Heroes win by more than 2.5 runs, the first market resolves to Yes. If the Kiwoom Heroes win by more than 1.5 runs (but not exceeding 2.5 runs), the second market resolves to Yes. If the Samsung Lions win by more than 1.5 runs (but not exceeding 2.5 runs), the third market resolves to Yes. Finally, if the Samsung Lions win by more than 2.5 runs, the fourth market resolves to Yes. All markets share the same underlying game and time, and Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league or ownership of related trademarks, logos, and brand names.
Prediction market odds in this market reflect the aggregated beliefs of participating traders, often differing from traditional sportsbook lines due to unique positioning and liquidity conditions. While sportsbooks set their lines based on analytics and risk management, this market’s odds adjust dynamically as trader sentiment shifts, potentially offering alternative insights into expected performance.
This market resolves around Aug 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will determine whether the Samsung Lions or Kiwoom Heroes cover the posted spread, and the market will settle accordingly based on that result.
Injuries to key players, weather conditions affecting gameplay, and strategic changes by coaches can all shift trader sentiment and move this market. Additionally, any significant performance trends or recent match outcomes involving either team may influence odds as the game approaches, reflecting updated expectations for the final margin of victory.