TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 13, 9:49 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional baseball game between two teams, focusing on the margin of victory. It reflects how observers might evaluate the performance and strategies of the teams during the scheduled match. The result depends entirely on the final score difference at the end of the game.
The event covers four distinct outcome markets for the Samsung Lions vs Kia Tigers game scheduled for August 13, 2026. Each market resolves based on whether a specific team wins by a designated run margin—either over 1.5 or over 2.5 runs. If any of these conditions are met according to the official game result, the corresponding market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets operate independently, and the resolution depends solely on the final score difference without regard to other factors such as game interruptions or cancellations, which would result in all markets resolving to No. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders manually set prices through buying and selling contracts that represent possible run-difference outcomes. The current implied probability reflects the collective assessment of participants about which team is more likely to cover the spread, with liquidity and volume influencing how prices adjust throughout the event's duration.
This market resolves around Aug 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final run difference between the two teams will determine which side of the spread is correct, and the market will settle accordingly based on that official result.
Injuries to key players, changes in pitching rotations, weather conditions affecting game play, and recent performance trends can all shift this market. As new information emerges, traders may adjust their positions, causing odds to fluctuate. Media narratives and analyst updates about either team's chances can also influence sentiment and drive price movement leading up to Aug 13, 2026.