TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 7, 7:34 AM EST
Kalshi
A professional Korea KBO baseball game between two teams is scheduled for June 7, 2026, and the event concerns whether either team will score a run during the first inning of play.
On Kalshi, the Samsung Lions vs Kia Tigers first inning run contract is priced between 0 and 100 cents, with each cent representing a one percent probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy contracts if they believe runs will score in the first inning, or sell if they expect a scoreless opening frame. The market price reflects the collective confidence of all participants; as new information emerges—such as lineup changes, weather conditions, or pitcher form—the price adjusts in real time. Settlement occurs at Jun 7, 2026, when the actual first-inning result is recorded.
The Samsung Lions vs Kia Tigers first inning run market resolves at Jun 7, 2026, following the completion of the opening inning. The outcome is determined by whether at least one run crosses home plate during the first inning of the game. Resolution is based on the official box score and game record from the Korean Baseball Organization. Once the first inning concludes, the market settles automatically, and traders receive payouts according to the final result.
Several factors can shift the market price before Jun 7, 2026. Lineup announcements, particularly the inclusion or absence of power hitters, directly influence first-inning scoring expectations. Starting pitcher confirmation and recent performance trends matter significantly—dominant pitchers typically lower run probabilities. Weather conditions such as wind speed and temperature affect ball carry and offensive output. Recent team form, head-to-head matchup history, and any last-minute injuries to key players will prompt trader reassessment. Breaking news about roster changes or tactical adjustments can also trigger rapid repricing as the market incorporates new information.