TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 18, 8:40 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional baseball game between two teams, focusing on the margin of victory. The result depends on which team wins and by how many runs they win. Different thresholds define various possible outcomes.
The event covers four distinct outcome markets for the Samsung Lions vs Hanwha Eagles Korea KBO game scheduled for September 18, 2026. Each market resolves based on the winning team and the run differential exceeding specific thresholds: Hanwha Eagles winning by over 2.5 runs, Hanwha Eagles winning by over 1.5 runs, Samsung Lions winning by over 1.5 runs, and Samsung Lions winning by over 2.5 runs. All markets are independent and resolve separately according to these conditions. The event is unaffiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and real-time sentiment from traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on team form, injuries, or even external factors influencing the game. Comparing these odds can offer valuable insights into public perception versus professional assessments of the matchup.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price movements are driven by traders’ individual assessments of the Samsung Lions' and Hanwha Eagles' chances, factoring in recent performance and other relevant data.
This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread between the Samsung Lions and Hanwha Eagles will be determined by the official game results. The market will settle based on which team covers the spread as defined by the contract details. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes to the starting lineups for either the Samsung Lions or the Hanwha Eagles would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected weather conditions affecting the game, or even significant shifts in public sentiment based on pre-game analysis, could also move the market. Furthermore, strong performances in preceding games by either team could influence traders’ expectations and lead to adjustments in the odds.