TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 21, 7:04 AM EST
Kalshi
This Korea KBO baseball game between Samsung Lions and Hanwha Eagles is scheduled for June 21, 2026. Bettors can wager on the margin of victory, with separate markets for each team winning by various run differentials.
Resolution is determined by the final margin of victory in the Samsung Lions vs Hanwha Eagles Korea KBO game on June 21, 2026 at 4:00 AM EDT. The event includes four distinct spread thresholds: Hanwha Eagles winning by more than 2.5 runs, Hanwha Eagles winning by more than 1.5 runs, Samsung Lions winning by more than 1.5 runs, and Samsung Lions winning by more than 2.5 runs. Each threshold resolves independently based on the actual final score differential. For example, if Hanwha Eagles wins 7-4, the margin is 3 runs, which resolves Yes for both Hanwha Eagles thresholds but No for both Samsung Lions thresholds. Resolution uses the official final score from the completed game.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market may show different implied probabilities than traditional sportsbooks, especially if professional bettors or sharp traders identify value. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus differs. However, prediction market odds tend to sharpen closer to event time as more information becomes available and traders with stronger conviction enter positions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the balance of buy and sell pressure at any given moment. As traders submit orders, the price adjusts to clear the market. Higher prices indicate stronger consensus that the Lions will cover the spread, while lower prices suggest the opposite. Liquidity and trading volume influence how quickly prices respond to new information, so markets with deeper order books tend to move more smoothly.
This market resolves around Jun 21, 2026, once the Samsung Lions versus Hanwha Eagles game concludes and the final spread result is verified. The outcome is confirmed against credible public reporting of the official game score. The spread determines whether the Lions cover the specified margin or fall short. Resolution is automatic once the event result is publicly available and confirmed. Traders should monitor for any official postponements or rescheduling that might affect the resolution date.
Key catalysts include injury announcements, roster changes, and recent team performance trends leading up to game day. Momentum shifts—such as a winning or losing streak—can significantly alter trader expectations about the Lions' ability to cover. Weather conditions, home-field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history also influence pricing. Breaking news about player availability or coaching decisions often triggers sharp price movements. As the game approaches, each new piece of information compounds, so this market typically experiences increased volatility in the final hours before kickoff as traders adjust positions based on the latest developments.