TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 25, 7:50 AM EST
Kalshi
This baseball game between the Samsung Lions and Doosan Bears scheduled for July 25, 2026 will be tracked for total combined runs scored by both teams. Bettors can wager on whether the combined run total will exceed various thresholds throughout the game.
Resolution is determined by the combined run total scored by both teams in the Samsung Lions vs Doosan Bears game on July 25, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT. The event features progressive run total thresholds: Yes outcomes occur if combined runs exceed 5.5, 7.5, 9.5, or 11.5 runs respectively. Each threshold represents an independent market condition, with higher thresholds requiring greater offensive output from both teams combined.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi for this market reflect the aggregated beliefs of active traders, who continuously adjust prices based on new information and shifting expectations. These odds can diverge from traditional sportsbook lines, which are set by professional oddsmakers and may incorporate different models, risk management strategies, and market considerations. Traders on Kalshi effectively act as a crowd-sourced forecasting tool, often reacting quickly to news and data, while sportsbooks balance risk and may adjust less frequently for broader market appeal.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the odds for this market through continuous bidding, with prices reflecting the aggregated expectations of all participants. The top outcome’s chance is shown as a percentage, derived from the current trading volume and order book depth. Market pricing adjusts instantly to new data such as player injuries, pitcher performance updates, or weather forecasts affecting scoring potential. Volume of $26,746 indicates liquidity and interest levels among Kalshi users.
This market resolves around Jul 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total runs scored by both teams in the game will determine the result, closing the market immediately after the final out. No further adjustments are made for postponed games or extra innings unless explicitly covered by the event terms, ensuring a clear, timely settlement based on publicly available data.
Key signals that could shift this market include starting pitcher announcements, weather updates affecting game conditions, recent team performance trends, and any last-minute roster changes. Injuries to star hitters or pitchers, as well as umpire strike zone adjustments, may also influence expectations for run scoring. Traders will watch pre-game lineups and live in-game scoring updates, as each run scored impacts the market’s probability distribution and can trigger rapid price changes before Jul 25, 2026.