TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 26, 7:49 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional baseball game between the Samsung Lions and the Doosan Bears, focusing on the margin of victory. It reflects how much one team wins by compared to the other, rather than just who wins. The resolution depends on whether the winning team secures a lead that exceeds specific run thresholds.
The event consists of four sub-markets that resolve based on the run differential in the Samsung Lions vs Doosan Bears Korea KBO game scheduled for July 26, 2026, at 5:00 AM EDT. Each sub-market has a distinct threshold for victory margins: Doosan Bears winning by over 2.5 runs, Doosan Bears winning by over 1.5 runs, Samsung Lions winning by over 1.5 runs, and Samsung Lions winning by over 2.5 runs. If the actual run differential meets or exceeds the specified threshold for a given sub-market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All sub-markets operate independently, and each has its own resolution criteria. The secondary rules clarify that Kalshi is not officially affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Injuries, weather conditions, and recent performance trends for key players are major signals that could shift this market. Traders will also watch pre-game polls, expert analysis, and any last-minute lineup changes. As Jul 26, 2026 nears, any unexpected developments — even bullpen updates or stadium conditions — may cause rapid price swings on Kalshi based on how traders reassess the spread.