TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 30, 7:49 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Semen Pankin and Manoj Dhamne Manas in the Samsun, originally scheduled for July 29, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Semen Pankin' if Semen Pankin advances against Manoj Dhamne Manas. This market will resolve to 'Manoj Dhamne Manas' if Manoj Dhamne Manas advances against Semen Pankin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Semen Pankin and Manoj Dhamne Manas in the Samsun, originally scheduled for July 29, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Semen Pankin' if Semen Pankin advances against Manoj Dhamne Manas. This market will resolve to 'Manoj Dhamne Manas' if Manoj Dhamne Manas advances against Semen Pankin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, the current probability for the Pankin vs Dhamne Manas fight market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds often differ because they incorporate real-time trading dynamics and can shift rapidly with new information. Sportsbook odds, set by professional oddsmakers, typically factor in historical data and broader public opinion. This market’s pricing on Polymarket may appear more volatile or skewed compared to sportsbooks, especially if one fighter gains sudden momentum or controversy. Traders should compare this market to sportsbook lines for context, but remember that prediction markets represent a distinct, community-driven view of likely outcomes.
This market resolves around Aug 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the fight result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner is determined by official match results, which may include judges' scorecards, knockout victories, or other decisive endings announced immediately after the event. Traders can track news sources for real-time updates as the fight unfolds, ensuring they understand how this market will close based on the confirmed outcome.
Several signals can shift probabilities in this market before Aug 5, 2026. Key fighters’ injuries, training updates, or changes in betting volumes from large traders often cause rapid price swings. Media coverage highlighting a fighter’s dominance, recent fight performance, or psychological factors may also influence trader sentiment. As the event nears, any last-minute announcements — such as coaching changes or weight-limit issues — can dramatically adjust the top outcome’s chances on Polymarket.