TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 12:46 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting the point differential in the first quarter of a college football game between Sam Houston and Texas Tech. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold, indicating whether one team will outscore the other by a margin exceeding that threshold in the opening quarter.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first quarter of play in the Sam Houston vs Texas Tech college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins the first quarter by more than the stated point margin. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, markets remain open and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the influence of public opinion and information aggregation. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of perspectives. Over time, prediction market prices tend to become more efficient as more traders participate and new information becomes available. It's common to see this market converge with sportsbook odds as the event approaches, though discrepancies can still exist based on differing risk assessments and market dynamics.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the first quarter spread between Sam Houston and Texas Tech. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of these contracts reflects the collective wisdom of the crowd, and changes dynamically based on supply and demand. Higher prices indicate greater confidence in a particular outcome, while lower prices suggest less certainty. Traders are essentially betting on their prediction of the spread, and the market price aggregates those individual beliefs into a single, transparent indicator.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official result of the Sam Houston vs Texas Tech first quarter spread is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread will be determined by the official score differential at the end of the first quarter, as reported by the game’s official sources. The market will settle to 100 if the actual spread falls within the range represented by the contracts traded on Kalshi, and to 0 for contracts on the losing side of the spread.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 26, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Sam Houston or Texas Tech teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to impact the game's conditions, could also shift the odds. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could influence trader sentiment. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create price fluctuations as traders react to new information or adjust their positions.