TOTAL VOLUME:

$150.7b

24H VOL:

$207,718,796

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,875,605,108

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,818,368,540

475,822

Markets across

36,425

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,790

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Sam Houston vs. Missouri State
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Sam Houston vs. Missouri State?

Total volume:
$4,312,132
Volume 24h:
$4,299,568
83,940%
Liquidity:
$882,306
4%
Open interest:
$2,059,678
28,485%

Spread -4.5

 - Polymarket

Spread -4.5 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Oct 27, 2026

Spread: Missouri State (-4.5)

100%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 70¢ buys you 143 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $143 | Net Profit: $43 Multiplier: 1.43x | ROI: 43% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Spread -4.5

Trade
100%
46%
Yes 100¢No 0.9¢
0.9¢
$72,276
$20,509
3,043%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
polymarket

Spread -2.5

Trade
100%
36%
Yes 100¢No 0.9¢
0.9¢
$16,904
$236
0%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
polymarket

Spread -3.5

Trade
100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0.9¢
0.9¢
$18,003
$576
0%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
polymarket

Spread -6.5

Trade
100%
53%
Yes 99.9¢No 0.9¢
0.8¢
$55,927
$85,630
4,372%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
polymarket

Spread -7.5

Trade
100%
46%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
$68,223
$83,799
321,914%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
polymarket

Spread -5.5

Trade
100%
Yes 99.9¢No 0.9¢
0.8¢
$62,047
$30,590
509,726%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
polymarket

Spread -10.5

Trade
100%
45%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
$10,770
$4,472
0%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
polymarket

Spread -1.5

Trade
100%
35%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
$17,489
$198
0%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
polymarket

Missouri State O/U 23.5

Trade
99%
35%
Yes 100¢No 2¢
2¢
$7,167
$3
0%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
disputed
kalshi

Missouri St.

Trade
99%
31%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$1,137,641
19,310%
1,999,382%
$769,155
0d 0h 0m
active
polymarket

Spread -13.5

Trade
99%
48%
Yes 99¢No 2¢
1¢
$25,619
$3,419
0%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
polymarket

Spread -14.5

Trade
83%
22%
Yes 84¢No 19¢
3¢
$18,914
$653
0%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
polymarket

Spread -17.5

Trade
80%
13%
Yes 81¢No 21¢
2¢
$22,806
$328
0%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
polymarket

Spread -20.5

Trade
79%
14%
Yes 80¢No 22¢
2¢
$30,187
$185
0%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
polymarket

Spread -16.5

Trade
78%
22%
Yes 79¢No 23¢
2¢
$36,750
$305
0%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
polymarket

O/U 39.5

Trade
4%
74%
Yes 5¢No 98¢
3¢
$15,264
$1,362
0%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
polymarket

Sam Houston O/U 23.5

Trade
2%
46%
Yes 3.1¢No 98.5¢
—
$4,082
$1,755
0%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
polymarket

O/U 69.5

Trade
1%
12%
Yes 2.1¢No 99¢
—
$4,510
$5
0%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Sam Houston

Trade
1%
33%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$2,216,547
54,225%
2,148,728%
$1,290,523
0d 0h 0m
active
polymarket

Spread -6.5

Trade
1%
19%
Yes 1.9¢No 99.1¢
—
$7,496
$217
0%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
polymarket

Spread -1.5

Trade
1%
31%
Yes 1.9¢No 99.1¢
—
$6,970
$949
0%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
polymarket

Spread -2.5

Trade
1%
30%
Yes 1.9¢No 99.1¢
—
$6,174
$369
0%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
polymarket

Spread -4.5

Trade
1%
23%
Yes 1.9¢No 99.1¢
—
$6,979
$330
0%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
polymarket

Spread -5.5

Trade
1%
21%
Yes 1.9¢No 99.1¢
—
$9,833
$163
0%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
polymarket

Spread -3.5

Trade
1%
25%
Yes 1.9¢No 99.1¢
—
$7,173
$49
0%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
Total markets: 25 of 216

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the Sam Houston versus Missouri State college football game, specifically whether Sam Houston will cover the -16.5 point spread. Currently, the consensus probability of Sam Houston covering is 100.0%, aggregating views from Polymarket and Kalshi. The market will resolve based on the result of the game originally scheduled for October 27, 2026, as determined by the final score. Keep an eye on the game itself on October 27th, as the outcome will directly determine resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's winner market resolves to 'Yes' if either team wins, while Polymarket resolves to the specific winning team. Polymarket also includes a wide range of spread and over/under markets.Hero tip: Focus on Polymarket for more precise outcomes and consider Kalshi's winner market as a 'game played' indicator. Carefully review the specific resolution conditions for each spread and over/under market on Polymarket.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'Sam Houston' if Sam Houston wins, 'Missouri State' if Missouri State wins. Overtime included. Tie resolves 50-50. Game postponement suspends resolution. Cancellation resolves 50-50. Numerous spread and O/U markets with detailed rules.
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either Missouri State or Sam Houston wins the game. This is effectively a 'game played' market.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming college football game between Sam Houston and Missouri State, scheduled for October 27 at 8:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Sam Houston" if Sam Houston win the game. This market will resolve to "Missouri State" if Missouri State win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes if the respective team wins the Sam Houston vs Missouri St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 27, 2026. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA; all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates real-time predictions on the Sam Houston vs. Missouri State game from multiple platforms, currently Polymarket and Kalshi. It displays a consensus view of the probability of various outcomes, reflecting the collective wisdom of traders. Total volume across these platforms is $4,292,644, with $4,183,904 traded in the last 24 hours. By combining data from different sources, we aim to provide a comprehensive and accurate forecast for the game's result. The dashboard allows you to compare how different markets are pricing the same event, offering a broader perspective than any single platform.

Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the different incentives and information sources involved. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction markets reflect the aggregate beliefs of informed traders. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, particularly when significant new information emerges. While sportsbooks may initially have an edge, the continuous trading in prediction markets allows for rapid incorporation of new data and insights. This market, for example, may offer a different perspective than traditional betting options on the Sam Houston vs. Missouri State game.

On Polymarket, the current pricing reflects a different set of traders and available information compared to Kalshi. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in user base, trading fees, and market design can all contribute to price discrepancies. Currently, Polymarket favors Sam Houston vs. Missouri State: 4Q Moneyline at 100.0%, while Kalshi leans toward Missouri St. wins at 99.0%. These variations aren’t necessarily contradictions; rather, they represent diverse interpretations of the same underlying event. Examining these price differences can be valuable for understanding the range of possible outcomes for the Sam Houston vs. Missouri State game.

This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be determined by the official outcome of the Sam Houston vs. Missouri State game, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The resolution process focuses on objectively verifying the game's conclusion, ensuring a transparent and reliable outcome for all participants. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches, as this will determine the final payout for this market.

Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Key player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected weather conditions could all impact perceptions of each team's chances. Significant news regarding team morale or internal conflicts could also move the market. Furthermore, large trading volume on either Polymarket or Kalshi could create momentum and drive price changes. As the game approaches, any new information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning will likely be reflected in the market's pricing.