TOTAL VOLUME:

$150.6b

24H VOL:

$184,574,168

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,875,605,108

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,802,202,629

475,043

Markets across

36,118

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,638

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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PGA Tour: VidantaWorld Mexico Open Winner
kalshi
polymarket

Who will win PGA Tour: VidantaWorld Mexico Open?

Oct 24, 2026, 12:03 PM EST - Oct 31, 2026, 8:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$5,272,726
Volume 24h:
$4,042,244N/A
Liquidity:
$747,077
6%
Open interest:
$5,206,769
283%

Wyndham Clark

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Oct 31, 2026

Time left: 03d:22h:42m

VidantaWorld Mexico Open: Wyndham Clark wins

6%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 5.9¢ buys you 1,695 shares | Odds: 6% Total Payout: $1,695 | Net Profit: $1,595 Multiplier: 16.95x | ROI: 1,595% APY not meaningful 3 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Wyndham Clark

Trade
6%
1%
Yes 5.9¢No 94.2¢
0.1¢
N/A
$165,930
424%
N/A
$156,815
3d 22h 42m
active
polymarket

Wyndham Clark

Trade
4%
Yes 7¢No 96.5¢
—
$7,884
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 22h 42m
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
5.9%
Yes 5.9¢No 94.2¢
Avg: 0.1¢Max: 0.1¢
kalshi

Benjamin James

Trade
5%
Yes 4.9¢No 95.2¢
0.1¢
N/A
$45,524
266%
N/A
$43,777
3d 22h 42m
active
polymarket

Ben James

Trade
3%
Yes 5.7¢No 99.9¢
5.6¢
$7,904
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 22h 42m
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
4.9%
Yes 4.9¢No 95.2¢
Avg: 2.9¢Max: 5.6¢
kalshi

Doug Ghim

Trade
5%
Yes 4.6¢No 95.6¢
0.2¢
N/A
$115,283
234%
N/A
$115,143
3d 22h 42m
active
polymarket

Doug Ghim

Trade
3%
Yes 5¢No 99.9¢
4.9¢
$7,912
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 22h 42m
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
4.6%
Yes 4.6¢No 95.6¢
Avg: 2.6¢Max: 4.9¢
kalshi

Ben Griffin

Trade
4%
Yes 4¢No 96.2¢
0.2¢
N/A
$48,766
1,436%
N/A
$48,062
3d 22h 42m
active
polymarket

Ben Griffin

Trade
2%
Yes 4¢No 99.9¢
3.9¢
$7,685
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 22h 42m
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
4%
Yes 4¢No 96.2¢
Avg: 2.1¢Max: 3.9¢
kalshi

Tom Kim

Trade
4%
1%
Yes 3.9¢No 96.2¢
0.1¢
N/A
$73,208
466%
N/A
$68,068
3d 22h 42m
active
polymarket

Tom Kim

Trade
3%
Yes 5.1¢No 99.9¢
5¢
$7,907
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 22h 42m
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
3.9%
Yes 3.9¢No 96.2¢
Avg: 2.6¢Max: 5¢
kalshi

Johnny Keefer

Trade
3%
Yes 3.2¢No 97¢
0.2¢
N/A
$226,365
1,417%
N/A
$226,245
3d 22h 42m
active
polymarket

Johnny Keefer

Trade
2%
Yes 4¢No 99.9¢
3.9¢
$7,915
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 22h 42m
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
3.2%
Yes 3.2¢No 97¢
Avg: 2.1¢Max: 3.9¢
kalshi

Marco Penge

Trade
3%
Yes 2.7¢No 97.4¢
0.1¢
N/A
$54,659
292%
N/A
$54,056
3d 22h 42m
active
polymarket

Marco Penge

Trade
2%
Yes 3.7¢No 99.9¢
3.6¢
$7,686
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 22h 42m
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
2.7%
Yes 2.7¢No 97.4¢
Avg: 1.9¢Max: 3.6¢
kalshi

Blades Brown

Trade
3%
Yes 2.5¢No 98¢
0.5¢
N/A
$105,361
1,360%
N/A
$89,447
3d 22h 42m
active
polymarket

Blades Brown

Trade
2%
Yes 3.2¢No 99.9¢
3.1¢
$7,717
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 22h 42m
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
2.5%
Yes 2.5¢No 98¢
Avg: 1.8¢Max: 3.1¢
kalshi

Corey Conners

Trade
3%
1%
Yes 2.5¢No 97.6¢
0.1¢
N/A
$70,812
773%
N/A
$70,307
3d 22h 42m
active
polymarket

Corey Conners

Trade
2%
Yes 3.3¢No 99.9¢
3.2¢
$7,717
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 22h 42m
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
2.5%
Yes 2.5¢No 97.6¢
Avg: 1.7¢Max: 3.2¢
kalshi

Andrew Novak

Trade
2%
Yes 2.1¢No 98¢
0.1¢
N/A
$71,344
1,307%
N/A
$71,172
3d 22h 42m
active
polymarket

Andrew Novak

Trade
1%
Yes 2.6¢No 99.9¢
2.5¢
$7,764
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 22h 42m
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
2.1%
Yes 2.1¢No 98¢
Avg: 1.3¢Max: 2.5¢
kalshi

Zachary Bauchou

Trade
2%
Yes 2¢No 98.1¢
0.1¢
N/A
$116,385
1,040%
N/A
$115,471
3d 22h 42m
active
polymarket

Zach Bauchou

Trade
1%
Yes 2¢No 99.9¢
1.9¢
$7,717
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 22h 42m
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
2%
Yes 2¢No 98.1¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1.9¢
kalshi

Neal Shipley

Trade
2%
Yes 2¢No 98.1¢
0.1¢
N/A
$72,396
365%
N/A
$72,381
3d 22h 42m
active
polymarket

Neal Shipley

Trade
1%
Yes 2.4¢No 99.9¢
2.3¢
$7,707
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 22h 42m
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
2%
Yes 2¢No 98.1¢
Avg: 1.2¢Max: 2.3¢
kalshi

Jackson Suber

Trade
2%
Yes 2¢No 98.1¢
0.1¢
N/A
$64,603
2,923%
N/A
$64,580
3d 22h 42m
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
2%
Yes 2¢No 98.1¢
Avg: 0.1¢Max: 0.1¢
Total markets: 25 of 220

Intro

This market tracks the winner of the 2026 VidantaWorld Mexico Open golf tournament. Currently, the consensus probability that Austin Smotherman will win is 94.0%. This prediction is an aggregation of markets from Kalshi and Polymarket, and will resolve according to official results reported by https://www.pgatour.com/. The resolution rules account for potential discrepancies in player lists across platforms, with ties broken alphabetically by last name. Keep an eye on the tournament leaderboard as play concludes on November 1, 2026, to see if Smotherman maintains his lead through the final round.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The player lists offered on Polymarket and Kalshi are not identical, creating SKU risk where a winning player is only available on one platform. Polymarket includes 'Player X' options, while Kalshi does not.Hero tip: Carefully compare the player lists on both platforms. If you believe a player not listed on Kalshi has a good chance of winning, consider trading on Polymarket's 'Other' market.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'Other' if a player not listed in the market wins. Includes 'Player X' options for unlisted players. Resolves ties alphabetically by last name. "If an unlisted player wins the VidantaWorld Mexico Open tournament this market will resolve to 'Other'."
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if the listed player wins. Does not include 'Player X' options. "If [Player Name] wins the VidantaWorld Mexico Open, then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 VidantaWorld Mexico Open tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the VidantaWorld Mexico Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the VidantaWorld Mexico Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by November 7, 2026 at 7:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the official tournament results. If a golfer forfeits, withdraws, or does not participate prior to teeing off, Tournament Winner and End of Round Leader markets resolve to No, while Finishing Position, Make the Cut, Head-to-Head, and 3-Ball markets resolve to Fair Market Value. The winner is determined by the player with the lowest total score after the final round, and all outcomes reflect the official standings regardless of pre-tournament withdrawals or changes.

Frequently asked questions

On PredictionHero, this dashboard aggregates trading activity for the Mexico Open winner market across multiple platforms, including Polymarket and Kalshi. It provides a consensus view of who is predicted to win, based on the combined volume of $5,245,621 and recent 24-hour volume of $3,889,577. The dashboard displays the implied probabilities from each platform, allowing you to compare how different prediction markets are pricing the same event. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Will Austin Smotherman win the 2026 VidantaWorld Mexico Open? at 94.0%, while Kalshi leans toward VidantaWorld Mexico Open: Wyndham Clark wins at 5.9%.

Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering different insights than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly favors a particular golfer. However, both types of odds aim to represent the probability of each golfer winning, and significant differences can present opportunities for arbitrage. The current volume on this market suggests strong interest in several contenders.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Each platform has a different user base with varying expertise and information. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Furthermore, trading volume and liquidity differ between the two venues, impacting price discovery. Polymarket might attract more casual bettors, while Kalshi could be favored by professional traders. These differing compositions can lead to varied risk assessments and, consequently, different probabilities assigned to each golfer. The differing fee structures on each platform can also contribute to price discrepancies.

This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official results published by the PGA Tour, identifying the golfer who wins the VidantaWorld Mexico Open. The platform will verify the winner against these sources to determine the outcome of this market. Trading will cease once the winner is officially declared, and payouts will be distributed accordingly to those who correctly predicted the champion.

Several factors could significantly shift the probabilities in this market. A golfer’s performance in preceding tournaments, changes in weather conditions at VidantaWorld, or even injury news could all influence trading activity. Unexpected withdrawals of key players would also likely cause substantial movement. Public endorsements or negative press regarding a golfer’s form could also impact the market. Monitoring these signals and the volume of $5,245,621 will be crucial for understanding how traders are reacting to new information as the tournament approaches.