TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Sam Houston Bearkats vs. Portland Pilots (W)
Volume:
$113,394
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This market resolves based on the outcome of the Sam Houston Bearkats vs. Portland Pilots women's college basketball game scheduled for March 19, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET at Portland. The winner of the game determines the market resolution, with the result based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi resolves to YES for both possible outcomes (Portland wins OR Sam Houston wins), creating a logical contradiction that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket correctly resolves to one of two mutually exclusive outcomes (Sam Houston Bearkats or Portland Pilots) based on the game result.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi — the market rules state it resolves YES regardless of which team wins, meaning there is no NO outcome possible. This is a data integrity failure. Polymarket is the only tradeable market in this group, as it properly resolves to either Sam Houston Bearkats or Portland Pilots based on the final score.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Market resolves to YES if Portland wins AND ALSO resolves to YES if Sam Houston wins, creating a logical impossibility where both mutually exclusive outcomes trigger the same resolution. Key quote: 'If Portland wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Sam Houston wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Market resolves to exactly one of two mutually exclusive outcomes — 'Sam Houston Bearkats' if Sam Houston wins, or 'Portland Pilots' if Portland wins, with clear handling of postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Key quote: 'If the Sam Houston Bearkats win, the market will resolve to Sam Houston Bearkats. If the Portland Pilots win, the market will resolve to Portland Pilots.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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