TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 6, 5:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a European soccer match between Salzburg and Pafos, focusing on the margin of victory during regular time. It examines different thresholds for how many goals each team might win by, without considering extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates multiple potential goal-differential outcomes for the Salzburg vs Pafos Europa League match scheduled for August 6, 2026, considering only regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time). Four distinct criteria define resolution: Salzburg winning by more than 2.5 goals, Salzburg winning by more than 1.5 goals, Pafos winning by more than 1.5 goals, or Pafos winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each criterion operates independently, meaning any one of these conditions being met will resolve the respective market to 'Yes'. The rules explicitly exclude extra time and penalty phases from consideration. Additionally, all markets include a standard secondary disclaimer stating that the platform is not affiliated with the governing league, and that all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders manually set bids and asks that determine the current odds for this market. The platform aggregates these inputs to generate a continuously updating price that reflects the collective belief about the likely point spread outcome. Liquidity and trader participation directly influence how tightly packed the odds are, and large trades can shift the market noticeably.
This market resolves around Aug 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point differential from regulation time will be compared against the spread line to determine which side of this market is correct. No additional analysis or interpretation is needed beyond the official match result.
Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, or significant recent form for either team could shift this market as traders adjust their expectations for the point spread. Also, any major developments in media reports or expert analysis leading up to the match may influence trader sentiment. Volume often spikes around $12,582 in the hours before kickoff as uncertainty decreases.