TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 11:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on the margin of victory in a professional MLS soccer match between Salt Lake and Vancouver. The result depends on whether one team wins by a specific goal difference, excluding extra time and penalties.
The market resolves based on the goal difference in the Salt Lake vs Vancouver professional MLS soccer game scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Each rule specifies a different margin of victory for either team, with the market resolving to Yes if the winning team achieves the specified margin. Extra time and penalty goals are not counted toward the margin. The secondary rule clarifies that Kalshi has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it could indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the event. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities and are subject to change as new information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the Salt Lake vs Vancouver spread. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating a greater expectation that the spread will fall in a particular range. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their beliefs are correct and lose if they are wrong. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to reflect the collective intelligence of the market participants.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final spread of the Salt Lake vs Vancouver game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the relevant sports league and will be publicly available. Traders holding contracts on the winning side of the spread will receive a payout, while those on the losing side will forfeit their investment. The final spread will be the determining factor for settlement.
Several factors could influence the Salt Lake vs Vancouver spread market. News regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions could all shift expectations and impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups or key player availability would likely cause significant movement. Public sentiment, as reflected in polls or media coverage, can also play a role, though this market is driven by informed traders rather than general public opinion. Any new information relevant to the game's outcome has the potential to move the price.