TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 16, 12:05 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an MLS soccer match between Salt Lake and Minnesota, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It considers different threshold values for goal differences to determine the result. The event reflects how sports bettors and analysts might evaluate potential performance gaps between competing teams in a scheduled match.
The event evaluates various goal-differential thresholds for the Salt Lake vs Minnesota professional MLS soccer match scheduled for August 15, 2026. Resolution occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Four distinct outcome markets exist: Salt Lake winning by more than 2.5 goals, Salt Lake winning by more than 1.5 goals, Minnesota winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Minnesota winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each market independently resolves to 'Yes' if the respective condition is met; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. The rules clarify that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks set their spreads based on sharp handicappers and public action, prediction markets let traders vote with their money in real time. This can lead to tighter spreads or bigger discrepancies depending on how informed the trader base is. For this market, comparing the two can reveal whether the crowd sees value the sportsbooks might be missing.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the price through continuous bidding, with the current odds reflecting the collective belief about the likely point spread outcome. The top outcome’s chance percentage shows what the market thinks is most probable, and volume of $36,547 indicates how much trading activity has taken place. Prices adjust instantly as new information emerges about team performance or injuries.
This market resolves around Aug 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread recorded at the end of the game will determine which side wins, and the market will settle automatically based on that result. Timing is tied directly to when the official game conclusion is reported.
Injuries to key players, changes in team strategies, or weather conditions could all shift this market. Strong recent performances or coaching adjustments may also influence trader sentiment. As the game approaches, any news that affects the perceived competitiveness of either team is likely to cause price swings. Volume of $32,542 will likely rise as resolution nears and more traders place bets.