TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Saitama Seibu Lions vs Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles: Spread
kalshi

Saitama Seibu Lions vs Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles: Spread

Volume:
$3,655

Saitama Seibu Lions wins by over 1.5 runs

 - Kalshi

Saitama Seibu Lions wins by over 1.5 runs - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 22, 2026

Closed: Aug 22, 7:45 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Saitama Seibu Lions wins by over 1.5 runs

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$585
N/A
N/A
$582
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles wins by over 1.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,837
N/A
N/A
$1,837
Settled
No
kalshi

Saitama Seibu Lions wins by over 2.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$631
N/A
N/A
$631
Settled
No
kalshi

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles wins by over 2.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$601
N/A
N/A
$601
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a baseball game between two professional teams, focusing on the margin of victory. It evaluates whether one team wins by a specific number of runs or more, providing different thresholds for each possible winner. The result depends entirely on the final score of the game as it concludes under official conditions.

Kalshi

The event determines whether either the Saitama Seibu Lions or the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles win the specified baseball game by a margin exceeding set run thresholds. Four distinct outcomes are possible: the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles winning by over 2.5 runs, winning by over 1.5 runs, the Saitama Seibu Lions winning by over 1.5 runs, or the Saitama Seibu Lions winning by over 2.5 runs. Each outcome corresponds to a separate market that resolves to 'Yes' if the specified team achieves the required run differential in the game originally scheduled for August 22, 2026, at 5:00 AM EDT. All markets are independent, and only the market matching the actual result will resolve to 'Yes,' with all others resolving to 'No.' The markets are unaffiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Seibu Lions vs Rakuten Golden Eagles spread market tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of the Lions winning by more or less than 1.5 runs. The interface updates continuously, reflecting the latest bets and overall volume of $3,655 so users can monitor market sentiment and activity as the game approaches.

This market resolves around Aug 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread is determined by the official game results, specifically the difference in runs scored by the Seibu Lions and Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles. Once the game concludes and the results are widely reported, the market will settle based on whether the Lions win by over or under 1.5 runs.

Key signals that could shift this market include starting pitcher changes, weather delays, or recent performance trends for either team. Injuries to key players, updates on batting averages, or even bullpen effectiveness can all influence trader sentiment. As the game nears, any last-minute roster announcements or strategic decisions by coaches may cause rapid price swings, reflecting updated expectations for the final spread outcome.