TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 22, 7:45 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a baseball game between two professional teams, focusing on the margin of victory. It evaluates whether one team wins by a specific number of runs or more, providing different thresholds for each possible winner. The result depends entirely on the final score of the game as it concludes under official conditions.
The event determines whether either the Saitama Seibu Lions or the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles win the specified baseball game by a margin exceeding set run thresholds. Four distinct outcomes are possible: the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles winning by over 2.5 runs, winning by over 1.5 runs, the Saitama Seibu Lions winning by over 1.5 runs, or the Saitama Seibu Lions winning by over 2.5 runs. Each outcome corresponds to a separate market that resolves to 'Yes' if the specified team achieves the required run differential in the game originally scheduled for August 22, 2026, at 5:00 AM EDT. All markets are independent, and only the market matching the actual result will resolve to 'Yes,' with all others resolving to 'No.' The markets are unaffiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
This market resolves around Aug 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread is determined by the official game results, specifically the difference in runs scored by the Seibu Lions and Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles. Once the game concludes and the results are widely reported, the market will settle based on whether the Lions win by over or under 1.5 runs.
Key signals that could shift this market include starting pitcher changes, weather delays, or recent performance trends for either team. Injuries to key players, updates on batting averages, or even bullpen effectiveness can all influence trader sentiment. As the game nears, any last-minute roster announcements or strategic decisions by coaches may cause rapid price swings, reflecting updated expectations for the final spread outcome.