TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 9, 8:10 AM EST
Kalshi
The Saitama Seibu Lions compete with the Orix Buffaloes in a college baseball contest. Participants can bet on whether the combined runs will go over various targets.
Markets resolve to Yes if the Saitama Seibu Lions and Orix Buffaloes collectively score more than the specified number of runs in their College Baseball game scheduled for Sep 9, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT. The thresholds for these markets range from 5.5 to 11.5 runs. Kalshi clarifies it has no official connection with the Governing League, and all trademarks are property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the total runs scored in the Saitama Seibu Lions versus Orix Buffaloes game. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market believes is the true probability. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of expectations, influenced by factors like starting pitchers, weather conditions, and recent team performance. The current price indicates the market's assessment of whether the total runs will be over or under 5.5.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of runs scored by both the Saitama Seibu Lions and the Orix Buffaloes in the official game will determine whether the outcome is over or under 5.5 runs. The final score will be sourced from official game statistics and verified against credible public sources. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts settled based on whether their prediction aligned with the actual total runs scored in the game.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes to the starting pitchers for either the Lions or the Buffaloes would likely cause significant movement. Unexpected weather forecasts, particularly those predicting rain delays or strong winds, could also impact the expected run totals. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or lineup changes could shift market sentiment. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create price fluctuations as traders react to new information or attempt to capitalize on perceived mispricings.