TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Saitama Seibu Lions vs. Orix Buffaloes
polymarket
kalshi

Saitama Seibu Lions vs. Orix Buffaloes

Volume:
$281,282

Saitama Seibu Lions

 - Kalshi

Saitama Seibu Lions - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 1, 2026

Closed: Aug 1, 7:49 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Saitama Seibu Lions

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$139,392
N/A
N/A
$75,691
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Saitama Seibu Lions vs. Orix Buffaloes

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,957
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Orix Buffaloes

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$136,932
N/A
N/A
$71,266
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers the outcome of the NPB baseball game between the Saitama Seibu Lions and the Orix Buffaloes scheduled for August 1 at 4:00AM ET. The market resolves based on which team wins the game, with special rules for postponed, canceled, or tied games.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental settlement value mismatch: Polymarket uses team-name outcomes with tie/cancellation handling, while Kalshi appears to use a binary Yes/No format that lacks explicit tie/cancellation rulesHero tip: Do not hedge positions across these platforms. Polymarket provides explicit 50-50 resolution for ties/cancellations while Kalshi's binary logic creates unresolved risk for non-win outcomes. Prefer Polymarket for full outcome coverage

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to team name if that team wins, 50-50 for ties/cancellations - explicit handling of all game states
  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if either team wins with no explicit handling for ties/cancellations in provided rules
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for August 1 at 4:00AM ET: If the Saitama Seibu Lions win, the market will resolve to "Saitama Seibu Lions". If the Orix Buffaloes win, the market will resolve to "Orix Buffaloes". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the winner of the Orix Buffaloes vs Saitama Seibu Lions Japan NPB game scheduled for August 1, 2026, at 4:00 AM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game finishes, provided it occurs within two days of the original date. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two days away, the market resolves to a fair price. A tied game results in a 50/50 resolution for all markets. Kalshi is not affiliated with the Governing League, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Lions vs. Buffaloes matchup market aggregates data from multiple prediction platforms, showing how traders price the chances of each team winning. It displays current probabilities, volume of $281,282 and 24-hour volume of $269,636, letting you see consensus views across venues. This real-time view helps you spot shifts in sentiment as the game approaches.

Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect crowd-sourced sentiment rather than set bookmaker margins. In this market, the implied probabilities can show sharper divergences, especially when trader activity spikes around key events or injuries. Comparing the two gives you a sense of where public betting sentiment leans versus institutional lines.