TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Saitama Seibu Lions vs. Orix Buffaloes
kalshi
polymarket

Saitama Seibu Lions vs. Orix Buffaloes

Volume:
$310,972

Orix Buffaloes

 - Kalshi

Orix Buffaloes - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 31, 2026

Closed: Jul 31, 9:49 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Orix Buffaloes

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$177,512
N/A
N/A
$113,208
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Saitama Seibu Lions

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$125,522
N/A
N/A
$79,094
Settled
No
polymarket

Saitama Seibu Lions vs. Orix Buffaloes

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,938
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers the outcome of the NPB baseball game between the Saitama Seibu Lions and the Orix Buffaloes scheduled for July 31 at 5:00AM ET. The market resolves based on the winning team, with specific rules for postponed, canceled, or tied games.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental logic mismatch: Polymarket has explicit tie/postponement/cancellation handling while Kalshi resolves to Yes for any win and lacks edge case definitionsHero tip: Trade Polymarket for definitive resolution logic. Avoid Kalshi unless you can verify their unspoken tie/postponement rules match Polymarket's 50-50 or remain open logic

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Explicit multi-outcome structure: Lions win -> Lions, Buffaloes win -> Buffaloes, Postponed -> market remains open, Canceled/Tie -> 50-50. Source: NPB official information + credible consensus
  • Kalshi: Binary Yes resolution for either team win with no defined handling for ties, postponements, or cancellations. Implicit assumption may be 50-50 or market closure, but not stated
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for July 31 at 5:00AM ET: If the Saitama Seibu Lions win, the market will resolve to "Saitama Seibu Lions". If the Orix Buffaloes win, the market will resolve to "Orix Buffaloes". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

If Orix Buffaloes wins the Orix Buffaloes vs Saitama Seibu Lions Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Jul 31, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Saitama Seibu Lions wins the Orix Buffaloes vs Saitama Seibu Lions Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Jul 31, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Lions vs. Buffaloes matchup market aggregates data from multiple venues, showing real-time probabilities, volume of $310,972, and 24-hour volume at $289,702. It offers a consensus view of how Polymarket and Kalshi price this market, highlighting any shifts in trader sentiment as the game approaches.