TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 11, 4:05 AM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the total number of runs scored by both teams in a specific college baseball game between the Saitama Seibu Lions and the Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters. The outcomes depend on whether the combined runs exceed various thresholds, offering different levels of scoring intensity for participants to evaluate.
The markets resolve based on the total number of runs scored by both the Saitama Seibu Lions and the Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters in their college baseball game scheduled for August 11, 2026, at 1:00 AM EDT. Each market corresponds to a different run threshold: 5.5, 7.5, 9.5, and 11.5 runs. If the combined score exceeds the specified threshold for a given market, that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets are independent, and each has its own resolution criterion based on the total runs scored in the game. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set the price for this market through buying and selling contracts, which determines the current implied probability. The top outcome’s chance is displayed as a percentage, derived from the most recent trading activity. Market depth and volume of $22,143 help stabilize pricing, allowing participants to react quickly to new information affecting the game’s expected scoring outcome.
This market resolves around Aug 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the match will be used to determine whether the total runs scored meet the over or under threshold. No additional interpretation or calculation beyond the officially recorded result is needed for resolution.
Injuries to key batters or pitchers, weather delays affecting game length, and changes to the starting lineup can all shift expectations for total runs. Updates from coaches or medical staff, as well as any last-minute roster moves, may cause traders to adjust their positions. Additionally, early-game scoring trends during the match can create momentum shifts that influence market prices before the final outcome is set.