TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 17, 7:40 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a baseball game between two teams, focusing on the margin of victory. Bettors can speculate on whether a team will win by a specific number of runs or more. The result depends entirely on the final score of the game.
The event consists of four separate markets, each defining a specific winning margin threshold for either team in the Saitama Seibu Lions vs Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters game scheduled for September 17, 2026. Markets are structured around run differentials: Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters winning by over 2.5 or 1.5 runs, and Saitama Seibu Lions winning by over 1.5 or 2.5 runs. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the named team achieves the specified run differential in their favor; otherwise, it resolves to 'No.' All markets operate independently, allowing for varied betting opportunities based on anticipated score margins. The secondary rules clarify that the platform hosting these markets has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders like you set the odds by placing buy and sell orders. The price reflects the collective belief of all participants regarding the likelihood of the Saitama Seibu Lions winning by over 1.5 runs against the Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price moves based on supply and demand; if more people believe the Lions will win, the price for that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Saitama Seibu Lions versus Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters game, specifically whether the Saitama Seibu Lions win by over 1.5 runs. The platform will verify the final score against official sources to determine the winning outcome and settle all outstanding contracts. Traders should monitor official results as they become available following the game's completion.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Saitama Seibu Lions or the Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters could significantly shift expectations. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, performance in preceding games, and any strategic announcements from team management, may cause traders to reassess their positions. Unexpected developments leading up to the game are likely to create volatility in this market.