TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Saitama Seibu Lions vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Saitama Seibu Lions vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks?

Volume:
$167,038

Fukuoka Hawks

 - Kalshi

Fukuoka Hawks - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 7, 2026

Closed: Aug 7, 7:59 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Fukuoka Hawks

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$84,250
N/A
N/A
$63,434
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Saitama Seibu Lions

View
0%
57%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$75,510
N/A
N/A
$52,810
Settled
No
polymarket

Saitama Seibu Lions vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

View
0%
42%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,278
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group tracks the outcome of the NPB baseball game between the Saitama Seibu Lions and the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks scheduled for August 7 at 5:00AM ET. The resolution depends on which team wins the game, with specific rules for ties, cancellations, or postponements.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental logic mismatch - Polymarket uses team-specific outcomes while Kalshi uses a binary Yes resolution regardless of winnerHero tip: Do not trade these markets together as they will never resolve consistently. Polymarket requires team-specific outcomes while Kalshi always resolves to Yes

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to team name if that team wins, 50-50 for ties/cancellations. Key quote: If the game is canceled entirely... this market will resolve 50-50
  • Kalshi: Always resolves to Yes regardless of which team wins. Key quote: If Saitama Seibu Lions wins... then the market resolves to Yes
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for August 7 at 5:00AM ET: If the Saitama Seibu Lions win, the market will resolve to "Saitama Seibu Lions". If the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks win, the market will resolve to "Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the result of the Fukuoka Hawks vs Saitama Seibu Lions Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Aug 7, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT. If Fukuoka Hawks wins, their market resolves to Yes; if Saitama Seibu Lions wins, their market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game finishes within two days. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market resolves to a fair price. If the game ends in a tie, markets resolve to 50/50.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard tracks the NPB championship race across multiple platforms, aggregating real-time odds and volume data from Polymarket and Kalshi. It visualizes how traders across venues price the likelihood of different outcomes, showing both overall volume of $167,038 and recent 24-hour volume of $159,850. The view offers a consensus snapshot, highlighting any notable divergences between platforms as the season progresses toward its climax.

Key matchups featuring the top contenders, especially late-season games that shape playoff seeding, are primary market movers. Injuries to star players, changes in managerial strategy, and even weather-related game postponements can shift perceptions rapidly. Any development that alters the perceived path to the championship — whether performance surges or setbacks — may cause rapid re-pricing on both Polymarket and Kalshi as traders reassess probabilities.