TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Saitama Seibu Lions vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks
polymarket
kalshi

Saitama Seibu Lions vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

Volume:
$325,941

Fukuoka Hawks

 - Kalshi

Fukuoka Hawks - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 26, 2026

Closed: Jul 26, 6:24 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Fukuoka Hawks

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$230,821
N/A
N/A
$161,235
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Saitama Seibu Lions

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$88,996
N/A
N/A
$59,266
Settled
No
polymarket

Saitama Seibu Lions vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,124
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group tracks the outcome of the NPB baseball game between the Saitama Seibu Lions and the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks scheduled for July 26, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. The resolution depends on which team wins the game, with specific rules for ties, cancellations, and postponements.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Market structure mismatch - Polymarket uses a multi-outcome market while Kalshi implements a binary Yes/No structure that fails to distinguish between the two teamsHero tip: Avoid arbitrage opportunities here as Kalshi's structure creates unresolvable ambiguity if only one team wins - the market would incorrectly resolve Yes for both possible winners without distinguishing between them

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Multi-outcome market resolving to "Saitama Seibu Lions", "Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks", or 50-50 for ties/cancellations
  • Kalshi: Binary market resolving to Yes for either team winning, providing no distinction between winners
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for July 26 at 4:00AM ET: If the Saitama Seibu Lions win, the market will resolve to "Saitama Seibu Lions". If the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks win, the market will resolve to "Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

If Fukuoka Hawks wins the Fukuoka Hawks vs Saitama Seibu Lions Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Jul 26, 2026 at 4:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Saitama Seibu Lions wins the Fukuoka Hawks vs Saitama Seibu Lions Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Jul 26, 2026 at 4:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard tracks the NPB championship race across multiple platforms, showing how traders price the likelihood of different outcomes. It aggregates volume and odds from Polymarket and Kalshi, giving you a consensus view of market sentiment. With total volume at $325,941, you can see where the betting community thinks the race stands, and how expectations shift as the season progresses.