TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 5, 7:50 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the performance gap between two baseball teams in a specific game. It focuses on the margin of victory, indicating how decisively one team outperforms the other. Outcomes are determined by the final score difference, reflecting the competitive balance between the Saitama Seibu Lions and Chiba Lotte Marines.
These markets evaluate the outcome of the Saitama Seibu Lions versus Chiba Lotte Marines game scheduled for August 5, 2026, by measuring the margin of victory. Four distinct outcomes are considered: Chiba Lotte Marines winning by more than 2.5 runs, Chiba Lotte Marines winning by more than 1.5 runs, Saitama Seibu Lions winning by more than 1.5 runs, and Saitama Seibu Lions winning by more than 2.5 runs. Each market resolves based on whether the actual run difference meets or exceeds the specified threshold. The governing rules clarify that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the Japan NPB league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners. The primary determination hinges solely on the game's final score and the prescribed run-differential conditions for each market.
This market resolves around Aug 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will determine whether the Marines win by more than the set run spread, closing the market based on official game records.
Injuries to key players, weather delays, and changes to starting lineups can all shift this market as they affect expected run differentials. Performance trends, such as a pitcher’s recent outings or a team’s batting surge, may also influence trader sentiment. Any last-minute roster moves or bullpen updates released before the game could cause rapid price adjustments on Kalshi as participants reassess probabilities.