TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Saitama Seibu Lions vs Chiba Lotte Marines: Spread
kalshi

Saitama Seibu Lions vs Chiba Lotte Marines: Spread

Volume:
$6,223

Chiba Lotte Marines wins by over 2.5 runs

 - Kalshi

Chiba Lotte Marines wins by over 2.5 runs - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 5, 2026

Closed: Aug 5, 7:50 AM EST

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Chiba Lotte Marines wins by over 2.5 runs

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,808
N/A
N/A
$2,808
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Chiba Lotte Marines wins by over 1.5 runs

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,249
N/A
N/A
$1,249
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Saitama Seibu Lions wins by over 1.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,219
N/A
N/A
$1,152
Settled
No
kalshi

Saitama Seibu Lions wins by over 2.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$948
N/A
N/A
$948
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This set of markets tracks the performance gap between two baseball teams in a specific game. It focuses on the margin of victory, indicating how decisively one team outperforms the other. Outcomes are determined by the final score difference, reflecting the competitive balance between the Saitama Seibu Lions and Chiba Lotte Marines.

Kalshi

These markets evaluate the outcome of the Saitama Seibu Lions versus Chiba Lotte Marines game scheduled for August 5, 2026, by measuring the margin of victory. Four distinct outcomes are considered: Chiba Lotte Marines winning by more than 2.5 runs, Chiba Lotte Marines winning by more than 1.5 runs, Saitama Seibu Lions winning by more than 1.5 runs, and Saitama Seibu Lions winning by more than 2.5 runs. Each market resolves based on whether the actual run difference meets or exceeds the specified threshold. The governing rules clarify that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the Japan NPB league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners. The primary determination hinges solely on the game's final score and the prescribed run-differential conditions for each market.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Seibu Lions vs Lotte Marines spread market tracks real-time odds, price movements, and trading volume. It shows how the market probability shifts as new information emerges, along with $6,223 in total volume and $6,223 in 24-hour volume. This gives traders a live view of market sentiment and liquidity for short_topic.

This market resolves around Aug 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will determine whether the Marines win by more than the set run spread, closing the market based on official game records.

Injuries to key players, weather delays, and changes to starting lineups can all shift this market as they affect expected run differentials. Performance trends, such as a pitcher’s recent outings or a team’s batting surge, may also influence trader sentiment. Any last-minute roster moves or bullpen updates released before the game could cause rapid price adjustments on Kalshi as participants reassess probabilities.