TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Saitama Seibu Lions vs. Chiba Lotte Marines
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Saitama Seibu Lions vs. Chiba Lotte Marines?

Volume:
$18,063

Chiba Lotte Marines wins by over 1.5 runs

 - Kalshi

Chiba Lotte Marines wins by over 1.5 runs - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 15, 2026

Closed: Aug 15, 7:20 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Chiba Lotte Marines wins by over 1.5 runs

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,355
N/A
N/A
$1,427
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Chiba Lotte Marines wins by over 2.5 runs

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$549
N/A
N/A
$502
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Saitama Seibu Lions vs. Chiba Lotte Marines

View
0%
54%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,374
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Saitama Seibu Lions wins by over 1.5 runs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,183
N/A
N/A
$5,853
Settled
No
kalshi

Saitama Seibu Lions wins by over 2.5 runs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,602
N/A
N/A
$1,139
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event group covers the outcome of an NPB baseball game between the Saitama Seibu Lions and the Chiba Lotte Marines scheduled for August 15, 2026. The markets differ in how they define a winning outcome based on run differentials.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Threshold Divergence - Kalshi markets require specific run differentials while Polymarket uses simple win/loss outcomeHero tip: Traders should be aware that a one-run victory for either team will resolve Polymarket but remain open on Kalshi, creating potential arbitrage opportunities. Focus on run-line betting markets for Kalshi exposure.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to Saitama Seibu Lions if they win, Chiba Lotte Marines if they win, 50-50 for ties/cancellations. Quote: If the Saitama Seibu Lions win, the market will resolve to Saitama Seibu Lions
  • Kalshi: Resolves only if a team wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 runs as specified in each market. Quote: If the Saitama Seibu Lions win by more than 2.5 runs...then the market resolves to Yes
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for August 15 at 4:00AM ET: If the Saitama Seibu Lions win, the market will resolve to "Saitama Seibu Lions". If the Chiba Lotte Marines win, the market will resolve to "Chiba Lotte Marines". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

The event consists of four distinct markets, each evaluating different run-differential thresholds for the Chiba Lotte Marines vs Saitama Seibu Lions game scheduled for August 15, 2026. Markets one and two focus on the Saitama Seibu Lions winning by more than 2.5 or 1.5 runs, respectively, while markets three and four assess the Chiba Lotte Marines winning by more than 1.5 or 2.5 runs. Each market resolves independently based solely on the final score difference of the game. All markets share the same secondary disclaimer stating that Kalshi is not affiliated with the Governing League and that all trademarks belong to their respective owners. No ties, cancellations, or rescheduling alter the resolution criteria unless explicitly stated elsewhere.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard aggregates real-time data from multiple platforms tracking the NPB championship race. It shows how trader sentiment and volume shift across venues, highlighting consensus and divergence in expectations for the league's title winner. By consolidating odds and liquidity from different prediction markets, it offers a single view of where the collective intelligence sees the race heading, with updates reflecting new bets and price movements. This unified display helps users spot trends and compare outlooks without checking each platform individually.