TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 7:00 PM EST
Kalshi
Two national soccer teams compete in a scheduled match where a clear winner is determined within the standard playing time. The outcome depends solely on which team scores more goals during this period, without considering any subsequent tie-breaking methods.
The market resolves based on the result of the Saint Vincent and the Grenadines vs French Guiana professional Concacaf Nations League soccer game scheduled for Sep 26, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Saint Vincent and the Grenadines wins, its market resolves to Yes. If French Guiana wins, its market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, all markets resolve to a fair price.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and analysis. As more information becomes available – such as team news or weather forecasts – the odds on Kalshi may diverge from those found at sportsbooks, potentially offering value to informed traders. It’s common to see prediction markets become more accurate closer to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing possible outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information, leading to dynamic price fluctuations. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will climb. This creates a real-time assessment of probabilities driven by collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Saint Vincent and the Grenadines vs French Guiana CONCACAF Nations League match. Any official postponement or cancellation of the match will affect the resolution timeline, but the market will still be settled based on the official outcome when it becomes available. Traders should monitor official sources for updates regarding the event’s status.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Saint Vincent and the Grenadines or French Guiana would likely cause price movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions leading up to the match could also impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about the availability of star players or changes in coaching staff are other potential catalysts. Monitoring sports news and analysis focused on these teams will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in this market.