TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 9:32 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Hugo Grenier and Christian Langmo in the Saint Tropez, France, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 6:20AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Grenier' if Hugo Grenier advances against Christian Langmo. This market will resolve to 'Christian Langmo' if Christian Langmo advances against Hugo Grenier. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Hugo Grenier and Christian Langmo in the Saint Tropez, France, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 6:20AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Grenier' if Hugo Grenier advances against Christian Langmo. This market will resolve to 'Christian Langmo' if Christian Langmo advances against Hugo Grenier. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on their own models and risk assessment, while this market is driven by individual traders’ beliefs. Historically, prediction markets have demonstrated an ability to be highly accurate, sometimes exceeding the accuracy of traditional polls or analyst predictions. It’s important to note that discrepancies can arise due to differing information or interpretations of the event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Grenier vs Langmo match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the market’s consensus view, and traders aim to profit by correctly predicting the outcome. A higher share price indicates a greater perceived likelihood of that outcome occurring.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Saint Tropez tennis match between Hugo Grenier and Christian Langmo. The platform will verify the outcome against established sports data sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be eligible to receive their payout based on the final share price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches leading up to the Grenier vs Langmo match might also affect perceived probabilities. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed traders could indicate new information or a change in market expectations, potentially causing a rapid price movement. Monitoring these signals is crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.