TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 9:53 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Henri Squire and Maxime Janvier in the Saint Tropez, France, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 5:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Henri Squire' if Henri Squire advances against Maxime Janvier. This market will resolve to 'Maxime Janvier' if Maxime Janvier advances against Henri Squire. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Henri Squire and Maxime Janvier in the Saint Tropez, France, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 5:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Henri Squire' if Henri Squire advances against Maxime Janvier. This market will resolve to 'Maxime Janvier' if Maxime Janvier advances against Henri Squire. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a ‘wisdom of the crowd’ perspective, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a profit margin into their odds, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the outcome. If polls or analysts favor a particular player, we might see that reflected in the price of the corresponding outcome on Polymarket. However, discrepancies can arise due to differing information or biases between the two sources. It’s important to compare both to form a well-rounded view.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price fluctuates based on supply and demand; increased buying pressure drives the price up, indicating growing confidence in that outcome, while selling pressure lowers it. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Henri Squire vs Maxime Janvier match as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute funds to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant shifts in public perception could lead to price movements. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or player form could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, large volume trades on Polymarket itself can create short-term price fluctuations, as traders react to new information or attempt to capitalize on perceived opportunities. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential shifts in market sentiment.