TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 2:24 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Gabi Adrian Boitan and Vadym Ursu in the Saint Tropez, France, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gabi Adrian Boitan' if Gabi Adrian Boitan advances against Vadym Ursu. This market will resolve to 'Vadym Ursu' if Vadym Ursu advances against Gabi Adrian Boitan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Gabi Adrian Boitan and Vadym Ursu in the Saint Tropez, France, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gabi Adrian Boitan' if Gabi Adrian Boitan advances against Vadym Ursu. This market will resolve to 'Vadym Ursu' if Vadym Ursu advances against Gabi Adrian Boitan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It's common to see discrepancies, especially if there's significant public information or a strong bias among traders. These differences can present opportunities for arbitrage, where traders attempt to profit from the mispricing between the two types of markets. However, it's important to remember that both prediction markets and sportsbooks have their own strengths and weaknesses.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Boitan vs Ursu match, as reported by a recognized sporting authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available information to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor news sources for updates on the match as the resolution date approaches.
Several signals or events could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding the players' form, injuries, or changes in their training regimes could significantly shift market sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also have an impact. Furthermore, public opinion and expert analysis published in sports media outlets could sway traders' beliefs. Major upsets in other matches involving these players, or broader trends in the sport, might also contribute to price movements. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.