TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 7:36 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Jade and Ryan Peniston in the Saint Tropez, France, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Jade' if Daniel Jade advances against Ryan Peniston. This market will resolve to 'Ryan Peniston' if Ryan Peniston advances against Daniel Jade. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Jade and Ryan Peniston in the Saint Tropez, France, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Jade' if Daniel Jade advances against Ryan Peniston. This market will resolve to 'Ryan Peniston' if Ryan Peniston advances against Daniel Jade. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set initial lines to balance betting action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on traders directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. If there’s a significant discrepancy, it could indicate that the crowd believes a different result is more likely than implied by traditional betting venues. It’s important to consider both sources of information when forming your own prediction about the Jade vs Peniston match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a specific outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing means the market is constantly updating its forecast based on new information and sentiment. The current price reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants trading in this market.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Jade vs Peniston match as reported by recognized sports authorities. The market will determine which outcome – a win for Daniel Jade or Ryan Peniston – occurred according to the official match results. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome and their positions in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 27, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in weather conditions affecting the match, or even significant shifts in public opinion could all cause the odds to move. Unexpected announcements about player form or tactical changes could also impact trading activity. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either Daniel Jade or Ryan Peniston winning will likely be reflected in the market price, as traders adjust their positions based on the new data.