TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 8:32 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Saint-Martin and US Virgin Islands, scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Saint-Martin" if Saint-Martin are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "US Virgin Islands" if US Virgin Islands are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Saint-Martin and US Virgin Islands, scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Saint-Martin" if Saint-Martin are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "US Virgin Islands" if US Virgin Islands are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective that can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs. If there's a significant discrepancy between the implied probability on Polymarket and sportsbook odds, it might indicate that the market perceives information differently than the bookmakers. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither is guaranteed to be correct. Analyzing these differences can be a valuable part of your research.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will fluctuate, providing a dynamic assessment of the likelihood of either team scoring first. The market's efficiency depends on the volume of trading and the diversity of opinions represented among the traders.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be determined by which team scores the first goal in the Saint-Martin vs. US Virgin Islands match. If the match ends without either team scoring, the market will resolve as 'No Goal Scored' if that option is available, or based on the platform’s rules for such an event. The resolution process relies on publicly available information to ensure an accurate and transparent outcome.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team lineups, player injuries, or changes in coaching strategies could shift traders’ perceptions of each team's chances. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-game analysis from sports commentators could also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity on sportsbooks could influence traders on Polymarket to reassess their positions. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments will be crucial for understanding potential market movements before the Sep 26, 2026 resolution.