TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Saint-Martin vs. US Virgin Islands
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Saint-Martin vs US Virgin Islands?

Volume:
$414,828

Virgin Islands, U.S.

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 27, 2026

Closed: Sep 26, 6:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Virgin Islands, U.S.

View
100%
93%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$209,679
N/A
N/A
$105,099
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Virgin Islands

View
100%
95%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$14,436
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$105,320
N/A
N/A
$50,105
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Saint-Martin vs. US Virgin Islands)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$500
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Saint-Martin

View
0%
83%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$80,078
N/A
N/A
$53,629
Settled
No
polymarket

Saint-Martin

View
0%
83%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,815
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a soccer match between Saint-Martin and the US Virgin Islands in the Concacaf Nations League, scheduled for September 26, 2026. Markets exist for Saint-Martin winning, the US Virgin Islands winning, and the game ending in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms consistently define resolution based on the outcome of the match within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with a clear fallback hierarchy for data sources and a consistent handling of cancellations.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (Concacaf), with fallback to Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting.

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is determined by the official result of the match within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • If the match is canceled without a reschedule, the 'Saint-Martin wins' and 'US Virgin Islands wins' markets resolve to 'No', and the 'Draw' market resolves to 'Yes'.
  • A tiered source hierarchy is used for resolution data: Official sources -> Flashscore -> Sofascore -> Consensus of credible reporting.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: If the game is postponed, the markets will remain open until the game is completed.
  • Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours of the event's conclusion, Flashscore data will be used. If Flashscore data is unavailable, Sofascore data will be used. If neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting will be used. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, the market resolves 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
Timing: Resolution will occur within 24 hours of the match's conclusion, or as soon as official results are available, adhering to the data source hierarchy.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Concacaf Nations League game, scheduled for Saturday, September 26, 2026 between Saint-Martin and US Virgin Islands.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Saint-Martin vs Virgin Islands, U.S. professional Concacaf Nations League soccer match scheduled for September 26, 2026. There are three possible outcomes: a win for Saint-Martin, a win for the Virgin Islands, U.S., or a tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The market resolves to the respective outcome if that condition is met at the end of regulation time. Extra time and penalty shootouts do not affect the resolution. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price according to the platform’s guidelines. The platform, Kalshi, clarifies that it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of various outcomes for the Caribbean basketball matchup between Saint-Martin and the US Virgin Islands. Currently, the consensus view across these platforms indicates a strong expectation for one particular result. The total volume traded across both venues is $414,828, with $409,002 changing hands in the last 24 hours. This allows traders to express their beliefs about the game’s result and profit from correctly predicting the outcome of this exciting competition. The dashboard aggregates data to provide a comprehensive view of the market.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow traders to freely buy and sell shares, driving prices based on information and sentiment. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when significant information asymmetry exists or when a large number of informed traders participate in this market. It’s useful to compare both to gain a well-rounded understanding.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for the Caribbean basketball matchup may diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has a different user base, trading interface, and fee structure, all of which can influence price discovery. Furthermore, the liquidity and volume on each platform can vary, impacting how quickly prices react to new information. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Saint-Martin winning at an implied probability, while Kalshi leans toward a draw. These differences highlight the dynamic nature of prediction markets and the varying perspectives of traders on each venue.