TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 6:02 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in an upcoming soccer match between Saint Martin and the US Virgin Islands. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the anticipated offensive performance of both teams during the regulated time of the game.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for total goals scored in the Saint Martin vs US Virgin Islands professional CONCACAF Nations League soccer match scheduled for September 26, 2026. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the total goals scored by both teams during the 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time—excluding extra time and penalty kicks—exceeds the specified threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals). All markets are independent and assessed solely based on the final goal count within the defined timeframe. The rules clarify that Kalshi has no official affiliation with CONCACAF, and all related trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in how each assesses the probability of various outcomes. It's common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes – in this case, the total goals scored in the Saint Martin vs US Virgin Islands match. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and trading contracts at favorable prices.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Saint Martin vs US Virgin Islands match will determine the result. Official match statistics from a recognized sporting authority will be used to verify the final goal count. The market will settle to 100 for the contract corresponding to the actual total goals scored in the game, and 0 for all other contracts.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or tactical adjustments could shift expectations about the potential goal count. Weather conditions on match day, such as heavy rain or strong winds, might also impact scoring. Unexpected events during the match itself, like red cards or early goals, would likely cause significant price movements. Public sentiment and betting activity on Kalshi will also play a role in shaping the market's price as the event approaches.