TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 6:02 PM EST
Kalshi
This event involves a soccer match between two regional teams competing in an international tournament. The outcome depends on whether both teams manage to score during the regular play time, which includes any added stoppage time at the end of the match. The focus is solely on the performance of the teams within the standard match duration.
If Saint Martin and US Virgin Island both score a goal in the Saint Martin vs US Virgin Island CONCACAF Nations League match originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or focus on attracting action on certain outcomes, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the likelihood of both teams scoring. If sportsbooks heavily favor one team, and the prediction market shows a more balanced view, it could indicate a potential edge for informed traders. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups, and discrepancies can exist.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of 'Both Teams To Score'. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability. As more people buy contracts, the price increases, indicating growing confidence in the outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all traders participating in this market, and it’s constantly adjusting based on supply and demand.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Saint Martin and the US Virgin Islands score at least one goal during the match. The result will be determined by official match data and verified against credible public sources. Traders who correctly predicted whether both teams would score will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Saint Martin or the US Virgin Islands would likely cause movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also play a role. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the likelihood of both teams scoring has the potential to shift the market price.