TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Saint Lucia vs Bermuda: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Saint Lucia vs Bermuda?

Volume:
$21,575

Saint Lucia wins by more than 2.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Saint Lucia wins by more than 2.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 29, 2026

Closed: Sep 28, 9:58 PM EST

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Saint Lucia wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,244
N/A
N/A
$7,498
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Saint Lucia wins by more than 1.5 goals

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,685
N/A
N/A
$3,637
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Bermuda wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,244
N/A
N/A
$4,244
Settled
No
kalshi

Bermuda wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$830
N/A
N/A
$761
Settled
No
kalshi

Saint Lucia wins by more than 3.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$573
N/A
N/A
$519
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a soccer match between Saint Lucia and Bermuda, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It evaluates whether the winning team achieves a specified goal differential threshold set in different markets. The result is determined solely by the final score after regular time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.

Kalshi

The event consists of four distinct markets, each evaluating different goal-differential thresholds for either Saint Lucia or Bermuda to win the match. For Saint Lucia, two markets assess victories by more than 2.5 goals and more than 1.5 goals. For Bermuda, two markets assess victories by more than 1.5 goals and more than 2.5 goals. All markets resolve based on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty phases. The outcome of each market is independent, meaning a single match result can trigger resolution for multiple markets if the score meets their respective thresholds. Kalshi explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with CONCACAF, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Saint Lucia vs Bermuda match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of different outcomes shifts over time as traders buy and sell contracts. Currently, the total volume for this market is $21,575, with $20,348 traded in the last 24 hours. The dashboard provides a visual representation of market activity, allowing you to quickly assess the prevailing sentiment and potential trading opportunities related to the game's spread.

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals with varying levels of knowledge. It's common to see discrepancies emerge, especially when there's significant public interest or disagreement about the likely outcome. These differences can present opportunities for arbitrage, where traders attempt to profit from the price variations between the two venues.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders submit bids and asks for contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand; if more people believe Saint Lucia will win by a certain margin, the price of contracts reflecting that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a fair and efficient market for predicting the result of the Saint Lucia vs Bermuda match.

This market resolves around Sep 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Saint Lucia vs Bermuda match, specifically the spread, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing body of the competition. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will forfeit their investment. The market’s resolution is independent of any individual’s opinion or interpretation.

Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market leading up to Sep 29, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could significantly shift the perceived probabilities. Major upsets in other matches involving these teams, or shifts in public sentiment expressed through polls or social media, could also have an impact. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in market expectations, causing prices to move rapidly. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in this market.