TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 8:58 PM EST
Kalshi
In an international football match between Saint Lucia and Bermuda, each team must find the back of the net within the regular 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time. The outcome hinges solely on whether both sides manage to score at least one goal during this standard match duration, excluding any extra time periods or penalty shootouts.
If Saint Lucia and Bermuda both score a goal in the Saint Lucia vs Bermuda CONCACAF Nations League match originally scheduled for Sep 28, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the aggregate wisdom of traders who are incentivized to make accurate predictions. If a significant discrepancy exists between the implied probability on Kalshi and sportsbook odds, it could indicate differing opinions on the likelihood of both teams scoring. It's important to consider both sources of information when forming your own assessment of the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the probability of both Saint Lucia and Bermuda scoring. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing a 0% to 100% chance of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, indicating growing confidence in a 'Yes' outcome. Conversely, selling contracts lowers the price, suggesting a belief that both teams will not score. The current price reflects the collective judgment of all participants.
This market resolves around Sep 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both Saint Lucia and Bermuda score at least one goal during the match. Official match results will be used to determine if both teams found the back of the net. The market will then settle accordingly, reflecting the accuracy of predictions made by traders on Kalshi.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Saint Lucia or Bermuda would likely have an impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also cause movement. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived likelihood of both teams scoring will likely be reflected in the price on Kalshi.