TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 9:55 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an international soccer match between Saint Lucia and Bermuda as part of the Concacaf Nations League. The result will be determined based on the performance of each team within the standard 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time. The event reflects the competitive standing of both nations in this official regional tournament.
The event resolves based on the result of the Saint Lucia vs Bermuda professional Concacaf Nations League soccer match scheduled for September 28, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If Saint Lucia wins, the 'Saint Lucia' market resolves to Yes. If Bermuda wins, the 'Bermuda' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The event exclusively considers the result within regular time and does not account for post-match tie-breaking procedures.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a margin for profit. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading on their own beliefs and information, potentially leading to odds that more accurately reflect the true probability of an outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It's a useful comparison point for informed bettors.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity determine the liquidity and price discovery process. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit from correctly anticipating the event's outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Saint Lucia vs Bermuda match as reported by a recognized sporting authority. The platform will then determine the winning contract based on the verified result, and payouts will be distributed accordingly to traders holding winning contracts. It's important to monitor official sources for the final result to understand the resolution process.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to Sep 29, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or shifts in coaching strategies could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions at the match location could also play a role. Furthermore, public sentiment and media coverage surrounding the teams and their performance can influence trading activity and, consequently, the market prices. Major upsets in related matches or tournaments could also indirectly affect this market.