TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 25, 10:37 PM EST
Kalshi
This event covers the Saint Louis vs Colorado MLS soccer match scheduled for July 25, 2026. Bettors can wager on whether the combined goal total will exceed various thresholds (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals) during the 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Resolution is based on the total combined goals scored by both teams in the Saint Louis vs Colorado professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for July 25, 2026, measured after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties). Each market outcome corresponds to a specific goal threshold: Yes resolves if the total exceeds 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals respectively. The determination uses the official final score as recorded by the league.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven purely by trader belief and real-money risk. Prediction markets typically aggregate dispersed information more efficiently over time, making them a useful benchmark for comparing against traditional betting lines. Many traders monitor both venues to spot value discrepancies, though each operates independently with its own pricing dynamics.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different goal-total outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the collective confidence of all active traders; as new information emerges or sentiment shifts, bids and asks adjust in real time. Traders profit by accurately predicting the final combined goal count, and the market price converges toward the true probability as the event date nears and uncertainty decreases.
This market resolves around Jul 26, 2026, once the Saint Louis vs Colorado match concludes and the final goal tally is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the total number of goals scored by both teams combined during regulation time. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless. Resolution is typically confirmed within hours of the final whistle as official match data becomes available.
Key injury announcements, lineup changes, or tactical shifts by either team can significantly shift expectations for goal volume. Recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions on match day all influence how traders reassess the likelihood of high or low scoring. Breaking news about player availability or coaching decisions often triggers sharp price moves as the market reprices risk. As kickoff approaches, this market typically tightens as uncertainty resolves and the final outcome becomes more predictable.