TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 9:58 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a soccer match between Saint Kitts & Nevis and Grenada, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on whether the winning team achieves a specified goal differential threshold. The contest is part of the official CONCACAF Nations League schedule.
The event resolves based on the goal differential by which either Saint Kitts & Nevis or Grenada wins the match, excluding extra time and penalty kicks. Four distinct outcome thresholds are defined: Saint Kitts & Nevis winning by more than 2.5 goals, Saint Kitts & Nevis winning by more than 1.5 goals, Grenada winning by more than 1.5 goals, or Grenada winning by more than 2.5 goals. If any of these conditions are met, the corresponding market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets are determined solely by the official match result after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with CONCACAF.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals freely buying and selling contracts. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when there’s significant public information or disagreement about the likely outcome. It's common to see prediction market prices move independently of sportsbook odds as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome of the Saint Kitts & Nevis vs Grenada match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. Higher demand for a particular outcome drives up its price, indicating a greater perceived likelihood. The current volume traded provides insight into the level of conviction behind these prices.
This market resolves around Sep 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread of the Saint Kitts & Nevis vs Grenada match as officially recorded by sports data providers. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine which side of the spread was correct. Traders holding contracts on the winning side will receive a payout, while those on the losing side will forfeit their investment. The exact payout amount is determined by the market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 29, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in other polls or analyses, may also impact the market. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in expectations. Monitoring these signals can provide valuable insights into the potential direction of the market and inform your trading strategy.